Trump Promised to Bring Mortgage Rates Down to 3% — Two Years Later, They Are at the Highest Since He Took Office: Economist Says 'I Would Be Extremely Concerned Right Now…'

10/2/2026
Impact: -80
Consumer Cyclical

As of October 1, 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has risen to 7.28%, the highest since Donald Trump took office in January 2025, up from 7.03% the previous week and 6.34% a year ago. Trump previously claimed that mortgage rates could fall to 3% or lower, a statement that has drawn criticism from figures such as Senator Mark Warner. Economists are concerned about the potential for rates to rise further, with some suggesting they could reach 9% in a severe scenario, while homebuilders are adapting to the current market conditions with various pricing strategies and incentives.

AI summary, not financial advice

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