Micron Analyst Dismisses Supply Glut Fears As AI Memory Crunch Deepens

Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) has emerged as a major beneficiary of the AI infrastructure boom as surging memory demand, constrained supply, and strong data-center utilization support pricing and earnings expectations. Micron’s latest results reinforced expectations for a longer AI-driven memory cycle, although analysts remain divided over how long elevated pricing can last as new capacity comes online. The stock has gained almost 300% in 2026, driven by an AI-led memory "supercycle" that has contributed to a global supply shortage. Reitzes Sees Memory Cycle Stretching Into 2028 Melius Research’s Ben Reitzes told CNBC that Micron’s outlook challenges fears that additional memory capacity in 2028 will automatically end the current upcycle. He highlighted management’s view that supply-demand conditions could remain tighter in 2028 than in 2026, even after planned capacity additions. Reitzes also expects margins to improve after the first quarter rather than deteriorate sharply as new supply enters the market. He argued that investors should increasingly treat memory as a critical AI component rather than a traditional commodity because greater memory capacity can improve AI performance and power efficiency. Reitzes also sees share repurchases becoming an important support for Micron, estimating that annual buybacks could eventually exceed 10% of its market capitalization. See More: Top Value Stocks Feeney Sees AI Capacity Opportunity but Flags Pricing Risk Advisors Capital Management partner and portfolio manager JoAnne Feeney took a more cautious view of Micron itself while treating its results as another signal that the AI infrastructure buildout has further to run. Feeney told CNBC that Micron’s strong results and comments that memory demand remains above supply point to a need for additional industry capacity. She said that dynamic could benefit semiconductor-equipment companies such as Lam Research Corp. (NASDAQ:LRCX), which Advisors Capital owns in its growth strategy. However, Feeney cautioned that Micron has benefited significantly from sharply higher memory prices. She sees risk when those prices eventually decline and investors begin anticipating a turn in the cycle. Feeney prefers broader AI exposure through more vertically integrated companies such as Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT), rather than relying directly on memory pricing. Arya Says AI Demand Continues to Outpace Supply Bank of America Securities senior semiconductor analyst Vivek Arya remains highly bullish on the broader semiconductor sector. Arya told CNBC that AI has progressed from consumer chatbots to enterprise applications and agentic workloads, with physical AI and robotics potentially creating another demand wave. He estimates AI-related demand is growing by more than 100% annually, while semiconductor capacity can expand only about 40%-50% per year. That imbalance, he said, supports strong pricing power. Arya considers concerns about incremental memory supply overstated because he expects underlying demand to remain substantially stronger. He also highlighted Micron’s revenue and gross-margin outlook and said memory now represents roughly half of the bill of materials for data-center systems. High Utilization Separates This Cycle Arya also sees a key difference between today’s AI boom and previous infrastructure cycles: high utilization. Older and newer generations of NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) chips can serve different workloads, while newer Blackwell and Vera Rubin systems address more demanding applications. That leaves little unused computing capacity and supports continued demand for memory and other semiconductor components. Together, Reitzes, Feeney and Arya see strong underlying AI infrastructure demand, but their views highlight the central investor debate around Micron: whether persistent demand can continue absorbing new supply before memory pricing eventually turns. MU Price Action: Micron Technology shares were up 0.87% at $1106.94 during premarket trading on Friday, according to Benzinga Pro data. Image via Shutterstock Read Also: Micron Stock Has Made Historic Run, Traders Are Now Asking What’s Left